Cook Political Report shifts 18 House races toward Democrats

January 15, 2026

And three “solid” Republican seats have softened into the “likely” red category: Rep. Jeff Crank’s seat in Colorado’s 5th District, Rep. Cory Mills’s in Florida’s 7th District and Rep. Andy Ogles in Tennessee’s 5th District.

Democrats only need three more seats to win a majority in the fall, and they are likely to benefit from the historic trend of a sitting president’s party performing poorly in midterm years.

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