Exclusive: Internal Poll Gives Dems Hope in TN-05
June 17, 2026
A Democratic survey found their presumptive nominee within striking distance in the gerrymandered seat.
Is the Republican gerrymander in Tennessee enough to save Rep. Andy Ogles (R-TN 05)? A Democratic internal poll obtained exclusively by Hotline shows that Republicans might not have a cakewalk in the new district that stretches from Memphis to the Nashville suburbs.
The poll (May 11-13; 558 LVs; +/-4.1%) conducted by Impact Research for Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder (D), the presumptive Democratic nominee, found Ogles leading in a head-to-head, 47%-41% with 12% undecided, in the redrawn district. While outside the poll’s margin of error, Molder is within striking distance of the embattled two-term incumbent.
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